Bond Yields and Economic Uncertainty in 2025

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In this weekโ€™s podcast Michael Brown (Senior Market Strategist from Pepperstone) and I look back at this weekโ€™s turmoil in the bond markets, and the weakness in the pound and discuss what it means for the economy heading into 2025. We also look at this weekโ€™s positive trading updates from Next, Tesco and Marks & Spencer which have been broadly positive and look ahead to next weekโ€™s UK CPI, GDP and retail sales numbers and what they might tell us about the UK economy.


In Summary

  • The start of 2025 has been choppy for markets.
  • Global bond yields are rising sharply, impacting investor sentiment.
  • The UK bond market is underperforming compared to global trends.
  • Stagflation is a significant concern for the UK economy.
  • Retail sector performance is mixed, with strong Christmas sales but cautious outlooks.
  • Upcoming GDP data will be crucial for assessing economic health.
  • US economic data will influence global market reactions.
  • Banking sector regulations may change under the new administration.
  • Earnings season will provide insights into corporate health and market sentiment.
  • Having a clear trading plan is essential for navigating market volatility.

 

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