Why the stock market is not reflecting the underlying economy

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In this week’s podcast, Michael Brown (Senior Market Strategist from Pepperstone) and I look back at the recent rate cuts from the ECB and Bank of England, and assess the recent fall in yields, new record highs for the DAX and FTSE100 and whether we can see further gains. We also look at this week’s numbers from BP, Barclays and Unilever, as well as looking ahead to next week’s UK CPI and wages numbers as well as looking ahead to the latest full year results from HSBC and Lloyds Banking Group.

Discussions include:

  • The stock market’s performance does not always reflect the underlying economy.
  • Consumer confidence in the US remains high compared to the UK.
  • Recent rate cuts by the Bank of England signal a shift in monetary policy.
  • Corporate earnings reports show mixed results, with some companies performing well despite economic challenges.
  • The UK housing market shows signs of optimism amidst broader economic gloom.
  • BP’s focus on renewables has negatively impacted its share price and profitability.
  • HSBC’s potential restructuring reflects ongoing pressures in the banking sector.
  • The labour market is showing signs of softening, with rising unemployment rates.
  • Retail sales data indicates a cautious consumer spending environment.
  • Public sector borrowing figures will be crucial for understanding fiscal policy moving forward.

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