Pound To USD Forecast: Is Now a Good Time to Buy US Dollars with Pounds?

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Is now a good time to buy USD from GBP

The pound-to-US dollar forecast is an indication of where technical and fundamental analysts think the GBPUSD price may be in the future. You can use these exchange rate forecasts to help you decide if now is the right time to buy Dollars, or if you should wait until the price improves.

GBPUSD Price1 Day Change1 Week Change1 Month Change1 Year Change
1.35251-0.87%-0.87%-0.06%8.18%
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GBPUSD Forecast Highlights

  • GBPUSD surged in recent days to trade at its highest level since 2021
  • Main driver for this sudden rally was dollar weakness
  • Bullish momentum points to a probe of 1.400; buy some dollars now

How has the Pound performed against the Dollar recently?

Since my last update in early December, GBPUSD has performed strongly.

Part of this bounce came from modest GBP strength; but the bulk of GBPUSD’s rally was driven by sustained dollar weakness.

The rate was loitering beneath 1.350 when greenback sold off steeply and suddenly. As a result, the rate surged to its highest level (around 1.381) in four years (see below).

The dollar has also performed poorly against a range of currencies, from Sterling to Swiss Franc to Norwegian Krone. In other words, GBPUSD’s rally is not an isolated case.

Why is the dollar weak? Many drivers are dragging the currency lower, from geo-political concerns to tariffs impact to momentum selling.

Chartwise, Cable’s recent rally affirmed the multi-year uptrend (from 1.030). If prices manage to climb above 1.400 and beyond, it would erase the entire decline from the pandemic highs established in early 2021. That would be an impressive recovery for GBPUSD.

However, whether prices can decisively break through the long-term resistance at 1.420 is hard to say. The current trend is driven mainly by dollar weakness, which may not sustained in the near/medium term (see discussion below).

For now, the trend points to a higher level (until 1.400), although a temporary reversal back to its previous range is not to be ruled out.

Is it a good time to buy US Dollars with pounds?

Yes, since Sterling is at its strongest level in years.

One pound sterling buys more than 1.35 dollars.  If you do need some US dollars in the near term, buy some now.

For the rest, you may want to wait and see if GBP can trend higher into 1.400. The rate’s momentum is modestly bullish and a test of that level is possible.

Will the pound strengthen further against the USD in the first quarter of 2026?

A scary trend is developing in the foreign exchange, in that the USD is dropping like a stone against major currencies.

A quick glance at the Dollar Index shows its sudden fall over the last two weeks of January. The index affirmed the overhead resistance at around 100.0 and slumped to new multi-year lows.

In light of the recent fast-paced development, the US Treasury secretary Bessent has emerged to voice support for the US dollar, stating: “we have a strong dollar policy“.

Does it? The market is not so sure. If I superimpose the current administration’s start date (Jan 2025) on DXY’s chart, you see immediately why the market is not convinced. The index peaked around the time when the Trump presidency began. And the dollar has been swimming in a weak, lethargic state since. So much for the strong dollar comment.

And remember that this persistent Dollar weakness occurred against the backdrop of Fed Funds rate floating in excess of 3.0%.

So, should we expect a continuation of the dollar weakness in the 1Q of 2026? Or should we expect some sort of a trend reversal?

Prediction the dollar’s direction in the near term is really hard because of three factors:

  • geopolitical impact on financial flows
  • new Fed chair in 2026
  • soaring US stock prices

On the first factor, the key theme is ‘de-risking’ from Dollar assets. The frantic search to store assets in hard currencies has accelerated. Witness the soaring price of gold and silver. These metals go ballistic when geo-political uncertainties swelled (1979 and 2011).

Next, Powell’s imminent replacement will bring more uncertainties to the dollar as the US central bank pivots from its monetary current policy.

Lastly, the soaring US stock market is adding a new risk to the dollar in 2026. In the past, when US stocks wobbled the Dollar normally appreciated since it is viewed as a ‘safe haven’ asset. This role is lessening but it has not totally gone away. How will the dollar perform should S&P correct? Few know for sure.

Therefore, I expect the Dollar to come under some selling in the next few months, although an oversold rebound from time to time should not to be ruled out.

For example, GBPUSD may encounter some resistance at 1.400 to retreat back into range.

 

What is the GBPUSD forecast in weeks, months, and years?

Despite the steeply rising GBPUSD, many brokers are not convinced that it will stay high.

For example, the range of GBPUSD forecasts a month out from this week is still recorded below 1.340 (see below). A quarter away the spread of forecasts expands slightly, but none breached the 1.400 area.

In other words, most analysts were expecting the Dollar to regain some strength, thus pushing the rate back into 1.340-1.360.

Source: fxstreet.com (Jan 2026)

Where is the best place for buying large amounts of US Dollars from Pounds

There are two different ways people buy US Dollars from Pounds

  • Through a currency broker – when transferring money abroad
  • Through a forex broker – when speculating on the price of currency

You can use this comparison table of currency brokers to see how many currencies they offer, what the minimum USD transfer is and if they offer forwards and currency options as well as when they were established. You can either visit each currency broker individually or use our currency quote comparison tool to request multiple exchange rates.

Or, if you are more interested in trading GBPUSD you can compare forex brokers here.

The current GBPUSD exchange rate is $0.739366068 which is a change of 0.88% from the previous day’s closing price. Over a week GBPUSD is 0.88%, compared to its change over a month of 0.06% and one year of -7.55%.

GBPUSD exchange rate data is updated every 15 minutes.

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