Is now a good time to trade Oil or Gas in South Africa?

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How Do You Trade Oil & Natural Gas In South Africa?

To trade oil and gas in South Africa, you need a futures or CFD broker like FOREX.com or Interactive Brokers that is ZA-regulated and lets you go long and short so you can potentially profit when the underlying price of commodities goes up or down.

Use our comparison tables and reviews to compare the best South African CFD brokers and switch to a CFD trading platform that offers the most markets, best pricing and client security.

Is now a good time to trade Oil or Gas in South Africa?

Michael Brown, Chief Market Strategist at Pepperstone, told us that Natural gas is a different ‘kettle of fish’ to crude, not least considering that Qatar, the world’s largest supplier, has suspended production for the time being. The length of any such suspension is key for the outlook here, though markets have wasted no time in pricing supply disruptions, with TTF futures having rallied well over 50% since that suspension was announced.

Crude market participants have been pricing a substantially higher risk premium for some time now, given that US military intervention in the Middle East was looking likely, though said premium has ratcheted higher still since the weekend, after kinetic action begun.

Of course, many are now questioning whether we could trade to $100bbl in Brent, though such a view seems hyperbolic for now, barring a prolonged blockage of the Strait of Hormuz, or significant damage to energy infrastructure in the Gulf, neither of which have yet taken place.

From a macroeconomic perspective, key will be the length of any conflict, and subsequent rally in crude benchmarks, with a more prolonged military operation likely leading to Brent remaining north of $80bbl for the foreseeable, in turn bringing with it notable inflationary implications, which could delay central banks like the BoE from delivering rate cuts in the short-term. Signals that both sides of the present conflict may be prepared to take ‘off ramps’ and de-escalate the situation would clearly be a positive signal, and see some degree of risk premium priced out.

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