Plus500 has launched a regulated US retail prediction markets offering, marking a significant expansion of its futures business and a strategic move into one of the fastest-growing areas of event-based trading.
The FTSE 250-listed futures trading platform confirmed that US customers on its client platform, Plus500 Futures, can now access prediction markets via contracts provided through Kalshi Exchange, the first regulated event-based contracts exchange in the United States.
Prediction markets allow traders to speculate on the probability of real-world outcomes, such as economic data releases, geopolitical developments, or major financial events. Plus500 said the new event contract product range provides a “transparent and fully regulated way to express views on real-world outcomes,” reflecting growing interest from both retail and institutional participants.
Plus500 described the launch as a “pivotal moment” as it expands into a rapidly developing segment of the global trading landscape. By leveraging its proprietary technology, clearing memberships and established risk-management infrastructure, Plus500 believes it is well positioned to scale participation in prediction markets and forecast contracts among its US customer base.
“Trading with leverage comes with a high risk and may not be suitable for everyone”
Under the structure, forecast contracts are delivered through Kalshi and cleared directly by Plus500 using its full clearing membership with Kalshi Klear LLC. Plus500 said this arrangement supports the integrity of the offering within a robust regulatory framework, with Kalshi operating under the oversight of the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).
The move follows Plus500’s first step into the prediction markets space in December 2025, when it was appointed clearing partner for the CME Group and FanDuel’s event-based contracts platform, FanDuel Prediction Markets. The company described that partnership as a validation of its institutional-grade market infrastructure.
Plus500 CEO David Zruia said the launch represents a major milestone for the group’s expansion in the US. “I’m proud to announce that Plus500 Prediction Markets is officially live in the US,” he wrote on LinkedIn, describing the new service as “a way for US retail traders to trade on real-time, real-world outcomes using Kalshi contracts.” Zruia added that prediction markets covering everything from “economic shifts and geopolitical moves to major global events” are now available in a “fully regulated, transparent environment,” calling it “a massive new chapter for Plus500 and a game-changer for our US customers.”
Plus500 Prediction Markets Review: Trade the News, Not Just the Markets
Account: Plus500 Prediction Markets
Description: Plus500 gives US traders a CFTC regulated way to trade prediction markets using Kalshi event contracts across finance, politics, crypto, entertainment and weather. Pricing is transparent and probability-based, with low per-contract commissions and a beginner-friendly mobile platform.
Are Prediction Markets on Plus500 any good?
Pricing: Plus500 charges a per-contract commission on prediction markets, typically around $0.01 per contract, with additional exchange or clearing fees potentially applying depending on the market. Overall, pricing is transparent, probability-based, and easy to follow, particularly for traders new to prediction markets. For isntance, if you are trading the S&P close price at the end of 2026 there is a $0.01 exchange fee and $0.01 commission charged.
Market Access: For financial traders, there is a wide range of short and long-term event contracts from where the S&P will close at the end of 2026, to shorter-term time frames like where WTI oil with close at the end of the current trading day. Plus a good selection of crypto, company, treasury and inflation markets like Core CPI and inflation.
App & Platform: Always good with Plus500, since its inception in 2008, the apps and desktop trading platform have always been intuitive, with only pertinent information displayed, making them ideal for new traders.
Customer Service: No phone number for direct contact through to dealers, but the Plus500 live chat feature has always been quick to answer any questions we have had when tested.
Research & Analysis: For prediction markets on Plus500, there is historic price charting per forecast contract with an event summary. There is also a timeline that shows you key timing and when settled trades are projected to be paid out.
Pros
- Wide range of markets
- Low commission rates
- Established brokerage
Cons
- No interest paid
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Pricing
(5)
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Market Access
(4.5)
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App & Platform
(4.5)
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Customer Service
(4)
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Research & Analysis
(4)
Overall
4.4
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