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A big battle was fought between the bulls and bears on Monday. Initially, the bears had the upper hand due to the accumulated downward momentum seen last Friday. What is more, negative news – Brexit, trade war fears, etc – helped its cause. But during the session the bulls went in search of bargains and rolled back all the losses by close. This print long lower tails on indices’ charts.
For the S&P 500 Index, it did touch new multi-month lows intraday. But it was unable to break beneath the 2,600 support. For the Nasdaq Composite Index, technical support is observed at 6,800-6,900 (see below).
First, at range lows equity indices may stage another rebound from here. But the obvious question is: Will it last? The last rebound did not. Therefore traders are definitely more cautious now. Second, with the Fed meeting next week, perhaps investors are hopeful that the central bank may reduce its hawkishness. US long-term yields are falling. This may exert pressure on the Fed.
Overall, equity are still on a RORO mode, which dictates the strategy of ‘buy range low and sell range high’.
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Jackson has over 10 years experience as a financial analyst. Previously a director of Stockcube Research as head of Investors Intelligence providing market timing advice and research to some of the world largest institutions and hedge funds.
Expertise: Global macroeconomic investment strategy, statistical backtesting, asset allocation, and cross-asset research.
Jackson has a PhD in Finance from Durham University.